Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 1.190305 1.375622 1.579683 1.820979 2.098464 2.407538 2.777915
2025-04-20 0.922157 1.161568 1.447899 1.815325 2.274158 2.828169 3.548039
2025-04-27 0.761347 1.033920 1.384258 1.866976 2.514486 3.352861 4.521152
2025-05-04 0.634062 0.921091 1.314557 1.892281 2.718230 3.856119 5.543356
2025-05-11 0.531426 0.820618 1.240846 1.894353 2.883919 4.325527 6.585779
2025-05-18 0.437337 0.714287 1.138822 1.834695 2.945252 4.647678 7.456075
2025-05-25 0.356375 0.613066 1.026470 1.737828 2.929410 4.843678 8.152573
2025-06-01 0.308210 0.556238 0.974308 1.726620 3.044178 5.253880 9.240697
2025-06-08 0.264814 0.499946 0.913599 1.689879 3.107310 5.582110 10.229660
2025-06-15 0.247865 0.487867 0.927110 1.783997 3.409936 6.355922 12.095932
2025-06-22 0.224986 0.460831 0.909063 1.816426 3.602368 6.954314 13.718043
2025-06-29 0.199332 0.424213 0.867369 1.796838 3.691595 7.369674 15.044090
2025-07-06 0.167999 0.372109 0.789816 1.698896 3.621003 7.485229 15.833315
2025-07-13 0.155289 0.357217 0.785485 1.750675 3.862950 8.252058 18.049694
2025-07-20 0.146735 0.350046 0.796303 1.836329 4.188833 9.234194 20.855335
2025-07-27 0.135914 0.335950 0.789951 1.883151 4.436700 10.084167 23.494145
2025-08-03 0.124084 0.317507 0.771041 1.898390 4.615294 10.806085 25.946888
2025-08-10 0.109454 0.289790 0.726422 1.846245 4.629183 11.159006 27.598597
2025-08-17 0.094455 0.258585 0.668665 1.753100 4.530261 11.235756 28.602110
2025-08-24 0.085820 0.242542 0.645985 1.744354 4.638507 11.818660 30.919446
2025-08-31 0.076891 0.224210 0.614737 1.708735 4.673044 12.225303 32.850084
2025-09-07 0.074734 0.224372 0.632038 1.804822 5.066306 13.583504 37.417439
2025-09-14 0.070063 0.216559 0.626682 1.838192 5.295640 14.549019 41.077728